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Is it time to buy SPCE stock?
Virgin Galactic has suffered setbacks of lately, and as a result the stock has suffered falling around 50% from June's peak.
Our “buy” rating remains, as does my target price of $32.50. The long term looks rosy, Virgin Galactic's forecasted revenue trajectory remains intact.
A recent analytical revenue expectation shows the future potential:
Year |
Estimated number of paid passengers flown |
Cost per seat |
Total revenue |
2021 |
21 |
$250,000 |
$3 million |
2022 |
30 |
$250,000 |
$7.5 million |
2023 |
240 |
$250,000 |
$60 million |
2024 |
720 (2 per day) |
$250,000 |
$252 million |
2025 |
960 ( 2.5 per day) |
$350,000
(with some costing $250,000 and others $450,000 |
$432 million |
2026 |
1,440 ( 4 per day) |
$450,000 |
$720 million |
2027 |
1,920 ( 5 per day) |
$500,000 |
$960 million |
2028 |
2,400 (6.5 per day) |
$500,000 |
$1.2 billion |
2029 |
2,880 (8 per day) |
$500,000 |
$1.44 billion |
2030 |
3,360 (9 per day) |
$500,000 |
$1.68 billion |
If the current estimates are correct, then carrying 13,000 plus persons to space over the next 10 years would still leave this market massively untapped. Virgin Galactic will soon start seriously marketing their service to the high net worth group namely those who's wealth is between $10 million to $50 million 836,000 individuals. But there are plenty potential customers due to the fact 1.7 million plus people have a net worth of $5 million to $10 million, so in fact there are many potential customers who could easily afford a trip to space and the once in a lifetime trip.
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